Rutgers New Brunswick/Piscataway Campus
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Brown Bag Seminar - March 8, 2006


Speaker: Jonathan Eckstein
Affiliation: Rutgers Business School and RUTCOR
Title: Two Optimization Problems Arising from Nonhomogeneous Poisson Processes.
Time: 12:00 - 1:00 PM
Location: RUTCOR Building - Lounge, Rutgers University, Busch Campus, Piscataway, NJ


Abstract: Suppose we wish to monitor an information source, such as a website, to which information is added at random times. If we are allowed a limited number of polls in a given period, what are the best times to place them? We model information addition as a nonhomogeneous Poisson process, and develop a corresponding cost model. The resulting optimization problem is very difficult to solve exactly, but may be solved approximately by discrete-time dynamic programming, followed by local search. We are able to bound the cost difference between the resulting solution and the true optimum.

I will briefly discuss a possible future project: extending this procedure to coordinated polling of multiple sources, using branch-and-price integer programming techniques.

Time permitting, I will discuss a different but related problem: estimating the arrival rate function of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process from a sample of arrival times or counts. If a smooth estimate is desired, nonnegative splines are an attractive class of functions over which to search. We show that maximum likelihood estimation over nonnegative splines reduces to a convex programming problem involving linear constraints and positive semidefinite matrix constraints. We present numerical results in which we use a cross-validation procedure to set the number of spline knots.

Various portions of this work joint with:
Farid Alizadeh (Rutgers Business School and RUTCOR)
Avigdor Gal (Technion, formerly Rutgers Business School)
Nilay Noyan (Sabanci University, formerly RUTCOR)
Gabor Rudolf (RUTCOR)


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